Andrea Pellegrino vs Mateusz Lange Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Lange has a lower second serve points win rate at 29.41% compared to Pellegrino's 44.45%, indicating Pellegrino's stronger serve performance.
• In return games, Pellegrino successfully wins 43.25% of second serve points and 29.51% of first serve points, outperforming Lange's 33.33% and 15% respectively.
• Both players have a breakpoint save rate of around 50%, which suggests similar resilience under pressure.
• Pellegrino's higher overall match win percentage of 63.24% over the last year starkly contrasts with Lange's 20% win rate, highlighting Pellegrino’s better form.
• Clay courts appear favorable for Pellegrino with a 57% win rate, while Lange shows a 33% win rate on the same surface.
• On the event level, Pellegrino competes primarily at the Challengers/ITF level with a higher success rate (65%), while Lange plays mostly Futures/ITF tournaments with only a 20% success rate.
• Pellegrino typically faces lower-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 257.75, whereas Lange encounters tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 107.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Pellegrino has a significant advantage, having won 80% of such sets compared to Lange's 0% win rate.
• Pellegrino shows superior breakpoint conversion at 32.95%, whereas Lange has failed to convert any breakpoints recently.
• Who seems to be the favorite in this matchup based on these stats? Pellegrino appears to have a distinct edge due to stronger serving and returning stats, higher recent win percentages, and better performance under high-pressure scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (September 9, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the comparative playing statistics of Lange and Pellegrino, a number of performance metrics provide insights into their potential outcomes for the upcoming match.

Pellegrino exhibits significant strengths in both serving and returning, particularly on second serves, where he outperforms Lange by a notable margin. His ability to convert breakpoints further sets him apart, indicating a higher likelihood of capitalizing on game-changing opportunities.

Looking at their overall performance in recent competitions, Pellegrino's higher win rate and successful track record in deciding sets further enhance his advantage. Despite Lange facing higher-ranked opponents, Pellegrino's success against slightly lower competition reflects effective match management and skill execution.

Considering all factual aspects, Pellegrino demonstrates a strong probability of winning this upcoming tennis encounter, given his overall consistency and stronger match performance indicators.